The Sleeping Beauty Problem Poll

Cerebral distractions of every kind, mostly but not exclusively Countdown-related.

Moderator: Michael Wallace

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What is the probability that the coin landed on heads?

Half
2
9%
Third
11
48%
I hate paradoxes
4
17%
Shut up there is a World Cup on and I don't want to be trifled.
4
17%
Other (give reasons)
2
9%
 
Total votes: 23
Marc Meakin
Post-apocalypse
Posts: 7069
Joined: Wed May 20, 2009 3:37 pm

The Sleeping Beauty Problem Poll

Post by Marc Meakin »

What is the probability that the coin landed on heads?
It would appear that are 2 probable? answers.
What side are you on.
GR MSL GNDT MSS NGVWL SRND NNLYC NNCT
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Peter Mabey
Kiloposter
Posts: 1123
Joined: Sat Mar 01, 2008 3:15 pm
Location: Harlow

Re: The Sleeping Beauty Problem Poll

Post by Peter Mabey »

My vote would be for 'undefined', as it doesn't seem possible to identify a set of equally-likely cases. :roll:
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Michael Wallace
Racoonteur
Posts: 5458
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:01 am
Location: London

Re: The Sleeping Beauty Problem Poll

Post by Michael Wallace »

What's wrong with being trifled?
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Dinos Sfyris
Series 80 Champion
Posts: 2707
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 10:07 am
Location: Sheffield

Re: The Sleeping Beauty Problem Poll

Post by Dinos Sfyris »

It's a third because Charlie sez.
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