Countdown ELO Ratings
Posted: Thu Aug 10, 2023 9:19 pm
I've produced a list of ELO ratings for Countdown players based on real life games. This accounts for games from Television and games from Co-Events. I used all games that I could find.
Top 25 Players v0.0.4
Data Sources and tools
View The Code
GitHub Repository with link coming soon...
FAQs
Top 25 Players v0.0.4
Code: Select all
Rob Foster:2364 P:304 W:235 L:64 WIN_RATE:78
Conor Travers:2216 P:171 W:138 L:33 WIN_RATE:80
Innis Carson:2210 P:108 W:94 L:14 WIN_RATE:87
Jack Worsley:2204 P:376 W:314 L:60 WIN_RATE:83
Jack Hurst:2202 P:156 W:128 L:27 WIN_RATE:82
Dylan Taylor:2145 P:185 W:147 L:36 WIN_RATE:80
Callum Todd:2142 P:385 W:286 L:97 WIN_RATE:74
Ahmed Mohamed:2137 P:41 W:36 L:5 WIN_RATE:87
Zarte Siempre:2078 P:281 W:198 L:82 WIN_RATE:70
Jen Steadman:2073 P:244 W:169 L:74 WIN_RATE:69
Jonathan De Souza:2060 P:149 W:88 L:61 WIN_RATE:59
Mark Deeks:2054 P:102 W:78 L:24 WIN_RATE:76
Oli Garner:2036 P:90 W:68 L:20 WIN_RATE:77
Tom Chafer-Cook:2033 P:124 W:85 L:39 WIN_RATE:68
Edward McCullagh:2024 P:75 W:61 L:13 WIN_RATE:82
Thomas Cappleman:2022 P:299 W:220 L:78 WIN_RATE:73
Thomas Carey:2000 P:466 W:281 L:179 WIN_RATE:61
Jon O'Neill:2000 P:215 W:140 L:71 WIN_RATE:66
Kirk Bevins:1973 P:179 W:139 L:37 WIN_RATE:78
Tim Down:1964 P:206 W:124 L:81 WIN_RATE:60
Mark Murray:1963 P:165 W:108 L:55 WIN_RATE:66
Chris Wills:1939 P:51 W:44 L:7 WIN_RATE:86
Giles Hutchings:1937 P:177 W:122 L:54 WIN_RATE:69
Stephen Read:1932 P:172 W:114 L:56 WIN_RATE:67
George Armstrong:1929 P:187 W:98 L:88 WIN_RATE:52
- TV game Data was pulled from the Countdown Database. This includes TV shows up to series 84. Thanks to Charlie Reams, Mike Brown and all the recappers for this data.
- Co-event Data was pulled from Greem.co.uk. This includes TV shows up to Co:Man 2020. Thanks to Graeme Cole, and the co-event organisers for this data.
- The elo calculations are made using a tool freely available on GitHub. Thanks to ddm7018 for this tool.
- The data is incomplete. We need to get results from co-events since co:vid into Graeme's DB which might involve some sort of co-ordinated community effort. Volunteers welcome!
- We also need to get more recent episodes of Countdown into the DB. I am particularly keen on episodes from the latest CofC to be included. If anybody knows how these get added to the DB please enlighten me
- There might be bugs. When I share a more detailed version of the data (and the code) if you are so inclined, please take a look and let me know if you spot issues.
- Waterford 2021, 2022, and 2023: No data here. Will need to reach out to Eoin.
- Braintree 2021, 2022 & 2023: Jeff thinks he has the data for these. Just a matter of him finding time to send it over to me and then me finding time to put it into the system.
- Blackpool 2021, 2022 and 2023: No data here. Will need to reach out to Mark M.
- Galway 2022: No data here. Will need to reach out to Paul
- Rugby 2023: With MSR to dig the data out of his old laptop
- Sligo: Looks like this event the Republic of Ireland doesn't have much info available at all. Not sure what I'll be able to find on this one
- Dublin 2023: No trace of this event on the forum either, so I'll have to ask around
- Edinburgh 2023:
- Focal finals 2023 + MK Open 2023
- Colin + Hangover 2024
View The Code
GitHub Repository with link coming soon...
FAQs
- Games are fed into the simulation in chronological order by date
- Games from the same date (i.e. all the games from a single event) or fed into the simulation in the order they were registered for the event
- I removed the "home advantage" parameter used in the GitHub Elo library, and also set the K factor to 50.
- Margin of victory, or length of game do not matter
- I have added a capability to "merge" known player who might be in the system with multiple names. So far I have only merged Jack Hurst/Jack Hirst, Toms/Thomases Carey and Cappleman, and Dinos/Konstadinos Sfyris.
- 0.0.2: Add 2022 and 2023 Colin Main Events and Hangovers. Add Manchester 2023 and 2022. Add Brighton 2022 and 2023. Add Birmingham 2022 and 2023 and Goat Birmingham 2023. Add 2022 Finals and 2022 Open. 13 Events in total. Add player additional player merging for JDS MSR and Old Garner
- 0.0.3: Add CoLon 2022 and CoC XVI. Add Played/Win/Loss/Win Rate stats
- 0.0.4: Add CoLon 2023, Co:Ne 2022 and 2023, Edi 2022 and Go:Leeds 2023
- Put it on GitHub with a readme
- Merge more players who are wrongly in with multiple names
- Get events post covid in
- Double check events DB to exclude any "online" tournaments
- Come up with better filtering rules
- Better visual representation / browsing of data