Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Cerebral distractions of every kind, mostly but not exclusively Countdown-related.

Moderator: Michael Wallace

Post Reply
User avatar
Charlie Reams
Site Admin
Posts: 9494
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2008 2:33 pm
Location: Cambridge
Contact:

Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Charlie Reams »

So as VEX seems to be the overwhelming favourite, we'll move the game on a little early. We scored 36, and Quackle replies with 11J BANJO for 40. Lucky we didn't leave that A-hook... We trail 110-236 but with both blanks to come, anything could happen. Here's the situation:

Image
User avatar
Michael Wallace
Racoonteur
Posts: 5458
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:01 am
Location: London

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Michael Wallace »

So 14A PA gets us 44, leaves QUIVE, not terrible.

I'm worried about the O on BANJO - would Quackle really really play that for 'only' 40 if it didn't have the Z? I suppose for a score of 40, the most a Z play would get is 62, and then that opens up the TWS so it might think it an ok trade? QUO would block it and leave a not too easily playable TWS, but only scores 15.

I'd also be worried that Quackle has an S to stick on BANJO. N10 PA/PE seems the only way to try and fight both the Z threat and the S, but even then it doesn't entirely block the TWS/BANJOS combo, and only scores 20. That said, I think I'd be quite tempted to go for that, because I'm so scared of the Z.
Jimmy Gough
Devotee
Posts: 876
Joined: Thu May 22, 2008 4:08 pm
Location: Eastbourne

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Jimmy Gough »

If REQUIP is a word it would be good. Failing that, I agree with Craig.
User avatar
Ben Wilson
Legend
Posts: 4546
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2008 5:05 pm
Location: North Hykeham

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Ben Wilson »

No REQUIP alas. QUENA L8 for 48 ain't bad but as the Rac rightly pointed out the O of Banjo is somewhat troubling and if Quackle then lays down QUIZ...

Toss-up between that and PA. I'll just agree with whatever Beevers says.
User avatar
Ian Volante
Postmaster General
Posts: 3965
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2008 8:15 pm
Location: Edinburgh
Contact:

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Ian Volante »

Is POQUE allowed? N10D for 44. A board opener with EQUIP on H7 for 29.
meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles
User avatar
Craig Beevers
Series 57 Champion
Posts: 653
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 10:37 am
Contact:

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Craig Beevers »

Michael Wallace wrote:So 14A PA gets us 44, leaves QUIVE, not terrible.

I'm worried about the O on BANJO - would Quackle really really play that for 'only' 40 if it didn't have the Z? I suppose for a score of 40, the most a Z play would get is 62, and then that opens up the TWS so it might think it an ok trade? QUO would block it and leave a not too easily playable TWS, but only scores 15.

I'd also be worried that Quackle has an S to stick on BANJO. N10 PA/PE seems the only way to try and fight both the Z threat and the S, but even then it doesn't entirely block the TWS/BANJOS combo, and only scores 20. That said, I think I'd be quite tempted to go for that, because I'm so scared of the Z.
Quackle would play BANJO keeping almost anything. The only other plays with the J from that score like 28. You can't really draw any inferences from its move.

Not going to give my vote yet. Just going to list some of the factors


PA scores 44 leaves QUIVE.

QUIVE(R) is an option next move, 29 points
an N pickup (or blank) gives (R)EQUIN for 75/78


PE scores 44 leaves QUIVA

QU(EN)A is an option next move, 48 points


QU(EN)A scores 48 leaves PIVE

PE is an option next move, 44 points. Some flexibility there if you pickup an O or A and want to dump those instead
Turns over 3 tiles


QUIVE(R) scores 29 leaves PA

PA is an option next move, 44 points etc.
Turns over 5 tiles
A- front hook for QUIVER, U-P if we get an I to hit the top middle TWS
Creates counter openings for BANJO
User avatar
Michael Wallace
Racoonteur
Posts: 5458
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:01 am
Location: London

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Michael Wallace »

Craig Beevers wrote:Quackle would play BANJO keeping almost anything. The only other plays with the J from that score like 28. You can't really draw any inferences from its move.
So it doesn't worry about the chance we have a Z? Interesting. If I were playing I'd be terrified of that (but I am not very good at Scrabble). I suppose the probability is fairly low, so expectation wise it presumably (if you could be bothered to work it out) works out.
User avatar
Craig Beevers
Series 57 Champion
Posts: 653
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 10:37 am
Contact:

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Craig Beevers »

Michael Wallace wrote:
Craig Beevers wrote:Quackle would play BANJO keeping almost anything. The only other plays with the J from that score like 28. You can't really draw any inferences from its move.
So it doesn't worry about the chance we have a Z? Interesting. If I were playing I'd be terrified of that (but I am not very good at Scrabble). I suppose the probability is fairly low, so expectation wise it presumably (if you could be bothered to work it out) works out.
There's a lot there Quackle opened up but these factors wouldn't be enough to overturn a choice of JOB etc. even if Quackle kept something mediocre. Keeping something like the Z or S just makes the choice easier. 12 points is a huge amount to give up for positional play at this stage of the game.
Gavin Chipper
Post-apocalypse
Posts: 13276
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 10:37 pm

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Gavin Chipper »

Charlie Reams wrote:We trail 110-236
Is that the fault of the tiles, or Quackle being that good?
User avatar
Charlie Reams
Site Admin
Posts: 9494
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2008 2:33 pm
Location: Cambridge
Contact:

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Charlie Reams »

Gavin Chipper wrote:
Charlie Reams wrote:We trail 110-236
Is that the fault of the tiles, or Quackle being that good?
Hard to separate the two. Quackle is very good, but has also had much better tiles than us (e.g. it drew a bonus immediately after the previous bonus, which is pure fluke). I'll analyse the game in full at the end and we'll see if we made any major errors.
User avatar
Charlie Reams
Site Admin
Posts: 9494
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2008 2:33 pm
Location: Cambridge
Contact:

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Charlie Reams »

Voting closes at 23:59 tonight, get your votes in soon.
Marc Meakin
Post-apocalypse
Posts: 6305
Joined: Wed May 20, 2009 3:37 pm

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Marc Meakin »

PE A14d, my vote.
GR MSL GNDT MSS NGVWL SRND NNLYC NNCT
Marc Meakin
Post-apocalypse
Posts: 6305
Joined: Wed May 20, 2009 3:37 pm

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Marc Meakin »

Charlie Reams wrote:
Gavin Chipper wrote:
Charlie Reams wrote:We trail 110-236
Is that the fault of the tiles, or Quackle being that good?
Hard to separate the two. Quackle is very good, but has also had much better tiles than us (e.g. it drew a bonus immediately after the previous bonus, which is pure fluke). I'll analyse the game in full at the end and we'll see if we made any major errors.
I think picking up both V's so soon in the game is unlucky, and Quackle has been very fortunate with the tiles.
GR MSL GNDT MSS NGVWL SRND NNLYC NNCT
Jimmy Gough
Devotee
Posts: 876
Joined: Thu May 22, 2008 4:08 pm
Location: Eastbourne

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Jimmy Gough »

I vote for PA.
User avatar
Michael Wallace
Racoonteur
Posts: 5458
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:01 am
Location: London

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Michael Wallace »

Let's go for PA then, I prefer QUIVE as a leave over QUAVE.
User avatar
Craig Beevers
Series 57 Champion
Posts: 653
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2008 10:37 am
Contact:

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Craig Beevers »

I would have voted for PA btw.

Good Scrabble debut from Oliver Garner at New Malden btw.
User avatar
Kai Laddiman
Fanatic
Posts: 2314
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 3:37 pm
Location: My bedroom

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Kai Laddiman »

Craig Beevers wrote:I would have voted for PA btw.

Good Scrabble debut from Oliver Garner at New Malden btw.
We're going to a tourney together on Saturday btw :D
16/10/2007 - Episode 4460
Dinos Sfyris 76 - 78 Dorian Lidell
Proof that even idiots can get well and truly mainwheeled.
Oliver Garner
Series 62 Champion
Posts: 775
Joined: Fri Oct 31, 2008 2:13 pm

Re: Scrabble Consensus Game - Move 5

Post by Oliver Garner »

Craig Beevers wrote:I would have voted for PA btw.

Good Scrabble debut from Oliver Garner at New Malden btw.
Cheers mate, won a tenner with the ratings prize :D
Post Reply