Clive Brooker wrote:I think the IAAF have tried to fix the wrong problem, or rather have failed to identify what the real problem is. The problem they've tackled is that of getting too many false starts through athletes trying to anticipate the gun and get as close as possible to the tenth of a second allowed. If anyone wins that way it will still stand, but they've successfully made it too risky a strategy for most athletes to contemplate. However, the price they've had to pay is disqualifying those in Bolt's situation - the genuine false start. No-one is suggesting he was trying it on, so he wasn't part of the original problem. A classic case of throwing the baby out with the bathwater.
So I suggest that the arbitrary tenth of a second is the real problem. Trying to bring a bit of imagination to this, could it work if every elite athlete intending to take part in a sprint event was given a personal tariff, based on a controlled series of tests? If anticipating the gun inevitably triggers a false start, there's no point, is there?
Personally, I don't think the problem ever was people trying to anticipate the start. It may have happened occasionally but it was probably quite rare. Sprinters false start more often than distance runners because they are far more on edge trying to get away as quickly as possible, whereas it's unlikely to matter so much in a distance race so they are more relaxed. Being on edge means that you are more likely to accidentally go early.
The chances of actually gaining from anticipating the start are very slim. Anything under 0.1s is a false start and as far as I understand, most athletes are probably gone by about 0.15s, so to guess a particular 0.05s window is very unlikely.
If each athlete had their own limit, it would make a bit of a joke of it I think, with some people allowed to start before others. I've also always been a bit uncomfortable with the idea that starting after the gun can ever count as a false start. Maybe anything between 0 and 0.1 seconds should mean a restart but not a false start against anyone. Also the race has only effectively started after 0.1 seconds so really they should take that time off all the records.
But in conclusion, I don't think there is a way to stop sprinters being at risk of false starting, and the one-false-start-and-you're-out rule is too extreme. Giving the whole field two lives was a bit weird. The old way was probably the best they've had but obviously can add a long time onto a 10-second race.
And yeah, randomised times seem logical (how do they do it now?) and maybe a longish gap as the norm which might reduce the "on-edge-ness". Actually that's something you could look at empirically - what sort of average time leads to fewest false starts.