Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

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Martin Hurst
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Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Wed Dec 06, 2017 11:15 pm

Let's give this a try!!!

For each of the seven games in the Series 77 finals, you give an answer of “higher” or “lower” in terms of the winning margin quoted – if you get your prediction right, you score 1 point per point you are right by, if you get it wrong, you score zero points.

For example, the winning margin stated in the first quarter final is Tom to beat Greame by 49 points. If your answer is “higher” and Tom wins by 60 points, you will score 11 points (60 – 49 = 11). If your answer was “lower”, you will score zero points.

If Tom beats Greame by 40 points, if your answer is “higher” you will score zero points, if your answer is “lower” you will score 9 points (40 – 49 = -9)

If Greame beats Tom by 5 points, if your answer is “higher” you will score zero points, if your answer is “lower” you will score 54 points (-5 – 49 = -54)

The winner is the person who has accumulated the most points after the grand final!

For the lowdown of the finalists, please see http://www.c4countdown.co.uk/viewtopic. ... 54#p174309

The quoted winning margins are..........

Code: Select all

Quarters:

Game 1: (1) Tom Chafer-Cook v (8) Graeme Staples - Tom to win by 49 points
Game 2: (2) Bradley Horrocks v (7) James Kennedy - Bradley to win by 38 points
Game 3: (3) John Cowen v (6) Michael Pfeffer - John to win by 14 points
Game 4: (4) Noel McIlvenny v (5) Eoin Jackson - Noel to win by 7 points

Semis:

Game 5: Semi final 1 - the better seeded player to win by 29 points
Game 6: Semi final 2 - the better seeded player to win by 26 points

Final:

Game 7: the better seeded player to win by 16 points

Your entry should be posted in this thread and look something like this (as an example):

Game 1: HIGHER
Game 2: LOWER
Game 3: HIGHER
Game 4: HIGHER
Game 5: LOWER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: LOWER

One entry per person please, and for anyone who knows what happens in the finals, please do not enter or spoil it for anyone else!!!! Only entries made before 2pm on Thursday 14th December will be valid.

Results will be updated daily.

Hope this all makes sense - any questions, please ask!!!

Good luck :)

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by L'oisleatch McGraw » Wed Dec 06, 2017 11:22 pm

This was Martin's 77th post here! :)
:arrow: :arrow: :arrow: S:778-ochamp

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tim Down » Wed Dec 06, 2017 11:29 pm

Yep, I like this.

Game 1: LOWER
Game 2: HIGHER
Game 3: HIGHER
Game 4: HIGHER
Game 5: LOWER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: HIGHER

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Ray Wilding » Wed Dec 06, 2017 11:49 pm

I'll play it fast and loose...

Game 1: HIGHER
Game 2: HIGHER
Game 3: HIGHER
Game 4: HIGHER
Game 5: HIGHER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: HIGHER

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Dan Byrom » Thu Dec 07, 2017 3:40 pm

Game 1: LOWER
Game 2: HIGHER
Game 3: LOWER
Game 4: LOWER
Game 5: LOWER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: HIGHER

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Johnny Canuck » Thu Dec 07, 2017 3:42 pm

Game 1: HIGHER
Game 2: HIGHER
Game 3: LOWER
Game 4: LOWER
Game 5: HIGHER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: HIGHER

Cool new idea!
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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Gavin Chipper » Thu Dec 07, 2017 6:28 pm

Ray Wilding wrote:
Wed Dec 06, 2017 11:49 pm
I'll play it fast and loose...

Game 1: HIGHER
Game 2: HIGHER
Game 3: HIGHER
Game 4: HIGHER
Game 5: HIGHER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: HIGHER
Interesting. In which case:

Game 1: LOWER
Game 2: LOWER
Game 3: LOWER
Game 4: LOWER
Game 5: LOWER
Game 6: LOWER
Game 7: LOWER

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tom S » Thu Dec 07, 2017 6:46 pm

1.HIGHER
2.HIGHER
3.LOWER
4.LOWER
5.HIGHER
6.LOWER
7.HIGHER
Last edited by Tom S on Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:02 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Johnny Canuck » Mon Dec 11, 2017 3:59 pm

Oh yeah, small inquiry here -- what happens if one of the predictions is neither higher nor lower, but exact? For example, what happens if Tom beats Graeme by exactly 49 points in Game 1?
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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Mon Dec 11, 2017 10:03 pm

Johnny Canuck wrote:
Mon Dec 11, 2017 3:59 pm
Oh yeah, small inquiry here -- what happens if one of the predictions is neither higher nor lower, but exact? For example, what happens if Tom beats Graeme by exactly 49 points in Game 1?
Everyone scores 1000 points :)
Tom S wrote:
Thu Dec 07, 2017 6:46 pm
1.HIGHER
2.HIGHER
3.LOWER
4.LOWER
5.HIGHER
6.LOWER
Can someone tell me the margin for the final please? Then I will answer 7. :)
Final:

Game 7: the better seeded player to win by 16 points

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tom S » Mon Dec 11, 2017 11:39 pm

Cheers for the response Martin.
Game 7: HIGHER

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Wed Dec 13, 2017 10:31 pm

Last chance to enter!!! :)

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Sean Fletcher » Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:23 pm

Game 1: HIGHER
Game 2: LOWER
Game 3: LOWER
Game 4: LOWER
Game 5: LOWER
Game 6: HIGHER
Game 7: HIGHER

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Gavin Chipper » Thu Dec 14, 2017 6:54 pm

Today's game was tight. Tom looked like he had it until that conundrum spot from Graeme. 40 points up after 9 rounds as well.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Noel Mc » Thu Dec 14, 2017 7:39 pm

I may be dumb, but can I ask where you got the predicted margins from?

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Thu Dec 14, 2017 9:26 pm

***Game 1 Update***

Tom won by 45 points, so those who went "lower" against the prediction of 49 claim 4 points!

T1st - 4 points - Tim, Dan, Gev
T4th - 0 points - Ray, JC, Tom, Sean

Next update tomorrow!
Noel Mc wrote:
Thu Dec 14, 2017 7:39 pm
I may be dumb, but can I ask where you got the predicted margins from?
They are either based on a complex algorithm performed by a super-computer, or were just made up by myself as educated guesses ;-)

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tom S » Thu Dec 14, 2017 9:48 pm

Martin Hurst wrote:
Thu Dec 14, 2017 9:26 pm
***Game 1 Update***

Tom won by 45 points, so those who went "lower" against the prediction of 49 claim 4 points!

T1st - 4 points - Tim, Dan, Gev
T4th - 0 points - Ray, JC, Tom, Sean
I did think that this margin would be wider, along with the majority, but well done to Graeme who played better than what I thought, and additionally for getting the conundrum over Tom, who was very consistent with the conundrums, though Graeme was too. I think my prediction for tomorrow will be more accurate, though.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Thomas Carey » Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:10 pm

In future, could it be a good idea for people to come up with their own margins? Maybe with different choices depending on who contests the semis/finals (or change them up as the results come in like real fantasy football)? A lot of people guess winning margins anyway so might as well combine these ideas
cheers maus

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Gavin Chipper » Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:24 pm

Thomas Carey wrote:
Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:10 pm
In future, could it be a good idea for people to come up with their own margins? Maybe with different choices depending on who contests the semis/finals (or change them up as the results come in like real fantasy football)? A lot of people guess winning margins anyway so might as well combine these ideas
I think this could be better. As it is we're just right or wrong but some games have more points available than others.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:54 pm

Thomas Carey wrote:
Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:10 pm
In future, could it be a good idea for people to come up with their own margins? Maybe with different choices depending on who contests the semis/finals (or change them up as the results come in like real fantasy football)? A lot of people guess winning margins anyway so might as well combine these ideas
I thought of doing it this way, but then I didn't think many would be arsed to go into that much detail, so I kept it simple as a first attempt at this sort of thing. Maybe next series if the demand is there (and if I/someone can be bothered to organise it ;-) )

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Gavin Chipper » Fri Dec 15, 2017 2:58 pm

Easy win for James today. He was never really troubled.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Sat Dec 16, 2017 2:28 am

***Game 2 Update***

Bradley snuck through to the quarter finals with a very exciting 6 point victory, so good news for him, but bad news for those who didn't go "lower" against the prediction of 38, as they missed a 32 point haul! Only Gev and Sean claimed the big points on offer today.

1st - 36 points - Gev
2nd - 32 points - Sean
T3rd - 4 points - Tim, Dan
T5th - 0 points - Ray, JC, Tom
Last edited by Martin Hurst on Sun Dec 17, 2017 2:11 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Thomas Carey » Sat Dec 16, 2017 10:59 pm

36 innit
cheers maus

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Bradley Horrocks » Mon Dec 18, 2017 8:23 pm

We’d have a runaway leader had anyone managed both to predict both QF2 and QF3!
"And PANTIES, thank you for that, that cheers us up enormously" - NH

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tom S » Mon Dec 18, 2017 8:56 pm

And I'm still yet to get off the starting blocks!

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Bradley Horrocks » Mon Dec 18, 2017 9:22 pm

Just what we want, unpredictability:)
"And PANTIES, thank you for that, that cheers us up enormously" - NH

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Mon Dec 18, 2017 10:24 pm

***Game 3 update***

John Cowen wind by 56 - wowzers! That's 42 points to those that went higher against the prediction of 14 (Just Tim and Ray!)

Latest standings..........

1st - 46 points - Tim
2nd - 42 points - Ray
3rd - 36 points - Gev
4th - 32 points - Sean
5th - 4 points - Dan
T6th - 0 points - JC, Tom

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Tue Dec 19, 2017 10:36 pm

***Game 4 update***

Noel battled to a win by just 2 points in a classic - that's 5 points to those who went LOWER than the 7 point prediction (everyone apart from Tim and Ray - the top two!)

Latest standings..........

1st - 46 points - Tim
2nd - 42 points - Ray
3rd - 41 points - Gev
4th - 37 points - Sean
5th - 9 points - Dan
T6th - 5 points - JC, Tom

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Wed Dec 20, 2017 10:15 pm

***Game 5 update***

Wow - what a performance by Tom! A 51 point victory so 22 points for those who went HIGHER than the 29 point prediction (Ray, JC and Tom)

Latest standings..........

1st - 64 points - Ray
2nd - 46 points - Tim
3rd - 41 points - Gev
4th - 37 points - Sean
T5th - 27 points - JC, Tom
7th - 9 points - Dan

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tom S » Wed Dec 20, 2017 10:29 pm

yay!

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Dan Byrom » Wed Dec 20, 2017 10:38 pm

:(

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Thu Dec 21, 2017 10:06 pm

***Game 6 update***

Bradley's 12 point win earned those who went LOWER than the 26 point prediction 14 points (Just Gev and Tom)

Latest standings..........

1st - 64 points - Ray
2nd - 55 points - Gev
3rd - 46 points - Tim
4th - 41 points - Tom
5th - 37 points - Sean
6th - 27 points - JC
7th - 9 points - Dan

Weirdly, that means the only people that can win are Ray, who went HIGHER for every single prediction, and Gev who went LOWER for every single prediction!

Basically, If Brad wins tomorrow or Tom wins by less than 7 points, Gev will win. If Tom wins by 9 points or more, Ray will win, and if Tom wins by 8 points exactly, Ray and Gev will tie.

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Gavin Chipper » Fri Dec 22, 2017 4:05 pm

Well done, Ray! One point!

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Martin Hurst » Fri Dec 22, 2017 11:32 pm

***FINAL STANDINGS***

A 9 point victory to Tom (congrats Tom - a brilliant series winner) means 7 points to those that went LOWER against the prediction of 16 (Just Gev!). Final standings are as follows - well done to Ray - enjoy your prize of a moral victory!

1st - 64 points - Ray
2nd - 62 points - Gev
3rd - 46 points - Tim
4th - 41 points - Tom
5th - 37 points - Sean
6th - 27 points - JC
7th - 9 points - Dan

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Tom S » Sat Dec 23, 2017 3:28 pm

Thank you for running this Martin- a good bit of fun, and 4th position isn't bad considering it took me about 4 games to gain any points lol :)
Cheers!

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Re: Fantasy Countdown (will contain series 77 spoilers)

Post by Dan Byrom » Sun Dec 24, 2017 1:10 pm

Well that went well...

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