c4countdown

Jon O'Neill

Gavin Chipper wrote: ↑Wed Nov 06, 2019 9:56 pm
Jon O'Neill wrote: ↑Wed Nov 06, 2019 8:35 pm In 2017 you had "Next Prime Minister" which obviously doesn't do what Gev wants this time as the incumbent is standing.
The incumbent was standing last time weren't they?

Oh yeah. Who knows then. There must be a market somewhere with the right set of terms and conditions.

Jon O'Neill

In 2017 you had "Next Prime Minister" which obviously doesn't do what Gev wants this time as the incumbent is standing. According to this market Corbyn has about a 37% chance of being next Prime Minister (obviously has some assumptions built in): https://i.imgur.com/bje36uh.png Corby is 2....

Jon O'Neill

Don't underestimate behaviour - Recent example - changes to the pension rules mean that NHS consultants are no longer working extra hours, because it simply isn't worth their time. Massive impact on the NHS. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/jun/24/nhs-consultants-turning-down-work-avoid-hug...

Jon O'Neill

If tax rates are very low, increasing them generates more revenue. Keep increasing them, and if you reach a point when a rate increase doesn't increase the revenue, you conclude that going above that point would actually reduce the revenue. There's a rate that maximises the return. Lengthy theorisi...

Jon O'Neill

I was having a play around with some HMRC numbers to see what the impact of a completely different income tax structure would be. I'm calling this the Jono proposal and my idea is a 20k tax free allowance, then 10% on all earnings to 50k, then 75% on all earnings above that. - Everyone who earns up...

Jon O'Neill

I was having a play around with some HMRC numbers to see what the impact of a completely different income tax structure would be. I'm calling this the Jono proposal and my idea is a 20k tax free allowance, then 10% on all earnings to 50k, then 75% on all earnings above that. - Everyone who earns up ...

Jon O'Neill

Thanks - all a bit confusing! - but I like your quote on that ticket, which I would say remains true to this day based on my experience.... "If I was new to Apterous, I'd be thinking "What on Earth's going on with these rating systems?" " :) From what I can tell, the rolling rat...

Jon O'Neill

A lovely lady and a giant of the game...

Jon O'Neill

OK, I'm going to have a go at replying to a lot of responses I've had. Sorry it's taken so long! Thanks for replying. You have an interesting perspective, possibly unique amongst the largely-atheist c4c. So it's interesting to hear. My first response is that one very positive result of posting on h...

Jon O'Neill

Zarte Siempre wrote: ↑Thu Oct 03, 2019 6:08 pm people who'd literally go to a co-event inside a wardrobe.

You get 50 points for winning that event in Gev's system.
Just saying.

Jon O'Neill

The change is a vast improvement. No scoring system is perfect if you want a transparent/easily calculable approach. I can understand why you'd want a transparent system - so you know where you need to finish to get x points on the day, for any event. The Zarte Method is clearly superior to both but...

Jon O'Neill

I'm a Christian. (snipped) This is a great post and I agree with the way you present the dichotomies of this debate. I've arrived at this point having considered the evidence, but also having met with God personally. (Perhaps the word 'personally' was a bit unusual, but if prayer is talking to God,...

Jon O'Neill

Zarte Siempre wrote: ↑Fri Aug 09, 2019 10:57 am Robin did set one up, but I didn't see much advertisement, so I've autorenewed last year's too, which everyone who's playing has been auto-added to.

Is there a joining code available?

Jon O'Neill

Gavin Chipper wrote: ↑Fri Jul 12, 2019 9:51 pm By the way, to piss directly into the water you'd need to be a full-on psychopath or severely autistic.

I mean that's just ridiculous. It's the best place to aim and so satisfying. It's actually one of the best things about being a man.

Jon O'Neill

By the way, how much does it matter if a few specks of piss that you can't see or smell, and as far as you're concerned doesn't even exist, land on some of the surfaces near your toilet? You're not going to know. Also they say piss is sterile don't they? I mean, it's probably some bullshit myth, bu...

Jon O'Neill

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejl7vrDUIcs

Jon O'Neill

Things you can't do that it always seems like everyone else can: computer games. I'm utterly useless. I'm not really into it, but I'm not fundamentally opposed to the pastime, and over the course of the past couple of decades I have occasionally, inevitably been exposed to FIFA, various shoot-em-up...

Jon O'Neill

Latest Black Mirror was disappointing. Was expecting good things after Bandersnatch but the new episodes were fairly weak. The cabbie one was probably the best of the bunch but still a bit bland. Think Charlie might be running out of ideas. Could do with getting some other writers. I liked them. Ki...

Jon O'Neill

Sorry - didn't realise that this was locked and cos I'm Off-Topic Mod I was able to post - I'll unlock in case people want to reply. Feel free to re-lock Ben if you disagree.

Jon O'Neill

Cathy has been more than fair in her responses. I can't see anything in Cathy's post that seems unreasonable in the circumstances. Is it really fair and reasonable to pompously assert that Ashton is either: 1. A very lonely attention-seeker 2. A paedophile 3. Mentally or neurologically challenged 4...

Jon O'Neill

Love the badged/medalled stuff.

Jon O'Neill

The order of importance for picking any round - letters or numbers.
1. Winning the match
2. Finishing as high in the competition as possible
3. You just fancy a certain selection
...
9999. What your opponent thinks/perceived negativity/opponent is on for a high score.

Jon O'Neill

That's a good one.

Jon O'Neill

All three seasons of Fargo were astoundingly good, to the point where I see no need to try and pick a favourite or pick a weak one, though most other people who have watched it seem to want to do this. Absolutely enjoying the shit out of Fargo. Half way through season 3 and they're all individually...

Jon O'Neill

Something I got to thinking about - hypothetical. Say I was going on the show. I know a lot of very good quizzers, for example Ryan Taylor on this board, but I don't really consider them a "friend" as such (remember, this is hypothetical). However, I'd really like to use them as phone-a-f...

Jon O'Neill

Milky Way
Twix
Galaxy
Malteser
Galaxy Caramel
Mars
Snickers
Bounty

Jon O'Neill

All the latest Louis Therouxs. All were great. Watched the first of the latest Attenborough (Dynasties) - pretty good. Watched the first episode of DOGS on Netflix. It was a bit too much about HUMANS and not enough about DOGS, in my opinion. Making a Murderer Season 2 was interesting. I've been on a...

Jon O'Neill

I don't know if this is just me, but some of the reactions that some people on here have to some television programmes is completely alien to me. I'm never "in bits" after watching anything, and to be honest I find it a little bit weird. Am I the weird one? You should try Louis Theroux's ...

Jon O'Neill

Gavin Chipper wrote: ↑Sat Nov 17, 2018 1:05 pmBut you're saying "I definitely want to be scarred for life. That's a given. Now I just need to find the way of doing it where I look least like a cunt."

That's right, yes.

Jon O'Neill

I'd like a tattoo but don't think there's anything worthwhile enough to justify the lifelong commitment.
Open to suggestions though.

Jon O'Neill

Anyone seen the German film "Look Who's Back" ("Er ist wieder da")? It's pretty dark, but really funny (if you like that kind of humour) and I think has some interesting points to make. It's basically "what if Hitler came back in the present day and what would he do" a...

Jon O'Neill

Recently watched Bodyguard - that was entertaining for something that made no sense.
Also watched Killing Eve - that was entertaining and made some sense.

Currently watching Making a Murderer Season 2. Not as good as the original (although how could it be?) Also I'm on the fence about who did it..

Jon O'Neill

I feel sorry for anyone watching it on catch-up as they won't have that element of surprise. I will let you know No need, I already know the answer. The fact that it's available on catch-up at all means the twist doesn't work. Should still be an enjoyable watch though. Completely forgot about it un...

Jon O'Neill

The only thing that is used to counter potential upsets is the five point penalty per word challenge. In some American tournaments you lose your turn for an incorrect challenge, which is harsh. The 5 point penalty worked against me yesterday as one of my opponents played SALTIER then later hooked a...

Jon O'Neill

Back to topic, I'm not aware of any rating system which is particularly robust to (a) matches between players with relatively huge ratings differences, and (b) players who play relatively few rated games, which would include some of the Scrabble World Championship entrants. And to answer Gavin's qu...

Jon O'Neill

To be fair , most of the good players absent had visa problems anyway. I got the pleasure to play Mark Nyman today ( of this parish ) needless to say he beat me but it was nip and tuck until I picked up the Q late on. Still 2 wins from 8 will do me as I'm 73rd rated out of 75 so I'm currently 66th ...

Jon O'Neill

Yeah, it's dumb.

Although maybe the ratings system is not a good one if it's overly sensitive to lucky outcomes in your chosen game. But why are people worried about the rating change from (presumably) the biggest tournament in the calendar?

Jon O'Neill

This can go up in relation to how much I've had to drink. I only tip the bloke who cuts my hair at Christmas. Do you have one hairdresser per religious festival? Like Gevin I just go along with tipping even though as a concept it is ridiculous. Under 10% seems cheap. Over 15% seems like you're show...

Jon O'Neill

1. Gives more attention to all 3 disciplines of the game (which unlike you I view as a selling point), 2. speaks more to tradition to honour the occasion, 3. likely takes fractionally less time, which I think is good for a game that only 2 people are playing (and which considering your other daft o...

Jon O'Neill

VHS artifacts or YouTube audio compression?

Jon O'Neill

Bournemouth saw just me doing the parkrun. The results out of 469 runners: 6. Gevin Chapwell - 18:30 (50 points) That's actually my second fastest parkrun time (my PB being 18:22 at King's Lynn last year). The overall points: 1. Gevin Chapwell - 360 2. Giles Hutchings - 106.7 3. Oliver Garner - 80 ...

Jon O'Neill

Gavin Chipper wrote: ↑Mon Aug 06, 2018 2:15 pm That's just "funded sport" whatever that is.

Funded sport means sports that get government funding.

Gavin Chipper wrote: ↑Mon Aug 06, 2018 2:15 pm Probably doesn't take into account people just turning up somewhere and playing.

It does.

Jon O'Neill

I would like to know the percentage of 6 foot 7 plus people living in the UK. I suspect that answer will explain the lack of participation. But never give up as it has taken decades for America to accept soccer as a viable sport and I suspect come 2026 they may come close to winning the darn thing....

Jon O'Neill

Why are L's worth 3 points?

Jon O'Neill

Just started playing. It's good, quick fun.
Currently have a 4-5 H2H against SusieBot which I think is just a "greedy" bot which doesn't take rack balance into account.

Jon O'Neill

Yeah, this is great. Nice work. Only thing I would suggest as an improvement is to do some face-up shuffling in the simulated rounds (or weight against rounds with double or triple letters). It seems to me that the most useful words seem a bit skewed towards double-letters compared to https://www.ap...

Jon O'Neill

Quite good results for me..

I'm very ageist
Slightly homophobic
Not racist
Don't associate women with the liberal arts

Jon O'Neill

Jono is doing a book a week as his new year's resolution for 2018. He'll pop along soon with some of the highlights I'm sure. I copied some of them from what people recommended him on Facebook and will report back. I'm a little behind (3 weeks if I finish what I'm currently reading by Sunday). So f...

Jon O'Neill

Nirvana
The Man Who Sold the World

Jon O'Neill

Stewart Lee
Louis CK
Frankie Boyle

Seen a load of great live comedy in London and Edinburgh but not from people whose names I can remember.

Jon O'Neill

All separate taps are completely retarded. Why would I ever need hot water and cold water at the same time? But they do separate jobs. You might not use your laptop and wellington boots at the same time, but would you want to combine them? That's moronic and you know it. You can't blend your laptop...

Jon O'Neill

Watched "Ted" earlier on Channel 4 (actually Channel 4+1, I got in too late to catch the start on normal C4). Now, I've seen it before and remember enjoying it a lot (of which more later), but I was never sure how much of that was because it was any good, or funny, or whatever. I'm pretty...

Jon O'Neill

Two days to go and I've just realised I've been negligent in one regard- I haven't posted the seedings yet! Rather than do my usual thing of ridiculous numbers of calculations based on on-screen performance, etc. I've decided instead to do it a very simple way. And rather than explain this simple w...

Jon O'Neill

Lord of the Rings - The Fellowship of the Ring (2nd attempt)
Managed an hour this time.
Not rating it on that basis.

Jon O'Neill

Gavin Chipper wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2017 1:42 pm I got through the ballot for entry into the 2018 London Marathon, so that's two marathons six months apart having never done one before in my life!

That's a little arrogant, to be so certain that you'll finish the first one within 6 months. You might as well get special jumpers made.

Jon O'Neill

So far:

Jon O'Neill

This is a stupid test and doesn't test whether you have the right amount of confidence in your knowledge in a sensible way. Take this example: "Wilt Chamberlain was shorter than 7 feet" I mean, I have no idea really, but most people are well under 7 feet tall aren't they? So really I'm an...

Jon O'Neill

http://confidence.success-equation.com/ I don't. Calibration score Mean confidence: 67.20% Actual percent correct: 54.00% You want your mean confidence and actual score to be as close as possible. Mean confidence on correct answers: 72.96% Mean confidence on incorrect answers: 60.43% You want your ...

Jon O'Neill

Bastille.

Jon O'Neill

Not even sure about this but Robin Hood is called Robin because he's always robbin' the rich..?

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