Search found 505 matches

by Clive Brooker
Tue Apr 21, 2009 9:14 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

I, like most others on here, think she does a fabulous job. She is really relaxing into the role now and going from strength to strength. Excellent choice, Mr Eadie! And the stats do seem to back this up. I've looked at Carol in series 51 (early 2004), and extended all three blocks of data to 14 we...
by Clive Brooker
Fri Apr 17, 2009 6:56 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Statistics
Replies: 34
Views: 1866

Re: Statistics

I have seen lots of different statistics posts dotted around the place, so I have created a new topic for all of you statonerds out there. Yes, you know who you are! So do I, but that's a different story. I guess I'm one, and presumably I can move my Rachel v Carol numbers over to here. Analysis of...
by Clive Brooker
Tue Apr 14, 2009 5:43 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

Who is :( Kai? Me or Clive? I am too old and out of my depth on this forum, but I was talking about the 'feel' of it - not the statistical analysis. Clive. BTW IMO IIRC AFAIK http://crosswordtools.com/numbers-game/ is pretty good. I'm also old and clueless, so you'll have to educate me. Am I supplo...
by Clive Brooker
Tue Apr 14, 2009 6:17 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

Charlie Reams wrote:...can we see the 61 and 66 games?
61 : 25 9 5 2 6 5 T 654 (March 23rd, pink dress)
66 : 25 2 8 9 6 7 T 944 (April 3rd)
by Clive Brooker
Tue Apr 14, 2009 5:50 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

I don't count the first weeks because they were not normal contestants; they were octochamps and so on and they only left Rachel the impossible ones to do. I can see why you might think that, but it's not true. The only real sitter Rachel has ever missed was 25*10+75+2=327 which came in her 4th pro...
by Clive Brooker
Mon Apr 13, 2009 10:13 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

...Although the data are quite sparse, it might be interesting to look at the first 28 of Rachel's numbers games versus the second set of 28 - see to what extent nerves and inexperience may have had their effects early on. The numbers are as follows: 1st 28 referrals (to 20/2) Solved 14 (50%) Avera...
by Clive Brooker
Mon Apr 13, 2009 9:36 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

Interesting, nice one. A few comments: - WTP's difficulty-o-meter involves some pretty arbitrary constants and I don't entirely agree with it's evaluation. For example, if you have a target of 601 and it's trivial to make 600 (e.g. 6x100) then a human will typically spend most of the time trying to...
by Clive Brooker
Mon Apr 13, 2009 6:40 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Re: Rachel v Carol

An individual’s “performance index” (hereafter PI) is defined as PI = Σ (tariff * (solved= ‘YES’) + (100 – tariff) * (solved=’NO’)) / N Where N is the number of games in the summation. Perhaps I am not understanding this, but doesn't this mean your PI goes up if you miss a solution? (and indeed, go...
by Clive Brooker
Mon Apr 13, 2009 6:19 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Rachel v Carol
Replies: 46
Views: 4290

Rachel v Carol

This is an attempt to perform an objective statistical comparison of the respective performances of Rachel and Carol at the Countdown numbers game. For Rachel, I have used data from her first 13 weeks (January 12th – April 10th). For Carol I have “randomly” picked the corresponding 13 weeks from 200...
by Clive Brooker
Thu Apr 09, 2009 5:51 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Wednesday, 8th April
Replies: 29
Views: 2009

Re: Spoilers for Wednesday, 8th April

Charlie Reams wrote:
Jon Corby wrote:
Clive Brooker wrote:Does anyone think I should pursue this, cleaning up the data as far as possible from the recaps?
Yes.
Agreed. It doesn't really prove anything much, but it's potentially interesting.
Thanks. Bristol auditions are next Wednesday, so don't expect anything before then!
by Clive Brooker
Thu Apr 09, 2009 2:22 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Wednesday, 8th April
Replies: 29
Views: 2009

Re: Spoilers for Wednesday, 8th April

Likewise, I didn't manage to get any of them today. Very impressive. She'd kick Carol's arse in a Numbers Attack. I few weeks ago I began a study comparing Rachel's performance to date with CV's over a randomly chosen "equivalent" period, using William T-P's rating system to provide a tariff for ev...
by Clive Brooker
Mon Mar 16, 2009 9:16 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Bristol auditions 18th march
Replies: 37
Views: 2570

Re: Bristol auditions 18th march

The Bristol auditions have been cancelled, due to illness apparently.
by Clive Brooker
Sat Mar 07, 2009 5:36 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Wed 04/03/2009
Replies: 107
Views: 11197

Re: Spoilers for Wed 04/03/2009

Have there been any changes to the scoring system since the launch of the original pilot?
by Clive Brooker
Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:01 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Countdown in the news
Replies: 217
Views: 46400

Re: Countdown in the news

Kirk Bevin broke the record for a contestant in the challenger’s chair Erk. At least they tried though. Or is that actually true (counting finals and CoCs)? No it's not. Julian Fell's 146 was achieved from the challenger's chair. Rather sadly I didn't need to look this up. So at least one record wo...
by Clive Brooker
Fri Mar 06, 2009 7:50 am
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Thu 05/03/2009
Replies: 104
Views: 7729

Re: Spoilers for Thu 05/03/2009

...obviously if you're 85 behind at Countdown with two rounds left, you can't win! Again, it would be ridiculous not to try and get the numbers or the conundrum, but I wouldn't pick four large or six small there just because it's pointless... But surely the "one strike and you're out" scenario chan...
by Clive Brooker
Thu Mar 05, 2009 9:50 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Bristol auditions 18th march
Replies: 37
Views: 2570

Re: Bristol auditions 18th march

My wife Carol has been invited to audition at 1130 at the marriot hotel in Bristol. Anyone else likely to be there? 32 replies and none anywhere near your question! I've just switched my audition from 9:30 to 11:30 - not because I particularly want to meet your wife but to fit in with childcare. Ap...
by Clive Brooker
Wed Mar 04, 2009 1:19 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' debut
Replies: 121
Views: 8593

Re: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' deb

Jimmy Gough wrote:
Clive Brooker wrote: I can't help feeling that discussing this sort of detail is a bit questionable
Why?
When I really think about it, no reason at all.

So the answer is: Bristol, March 18th. Sorry we can't meet up afterwards to drown our sorrows.

Clive.
by Clive Brooker
Wed Mar 04, 2009 9:59 am
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' debut
Replies: 121
Views: 8593

Re: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' deb

If I get through my upcoming audition (highly unlikely) you'll be able to judge for yourself. Where? (edit) I meant where is your audition? :) I can't help feeling that discussing this sort of detail is a bit questionable, although I'm quite sure the organisers have everything well under control. H...
by Clive Brooker
Tue Mar 03, 2009 8:06 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Kirk's debut
Replies: 32
Views: 2121

Re: Kirk's debut

Edit: Having reread Charlie's post, I see his point about it being within the context of the show, but that still doesn't sit well with me, and I'll rephrase my last question to make it fit the scenario of being within that context - if an octochamp from a previous series managed to sneak back on, ...
by Clive Brooker
Tue Mar 03, 2009 7:49 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' debut
Replies: 121
Views: 8593

Re: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' deb

I'm a bit disappointed I don't have the highest score of the series any more :( (though I didn't expect to keep it long anyway). This performance annihilated that previous score! Oh well. As long as I beat Kirk in the final, I won't mind :P Technically I'm male. Does this mean I have a female persu...
by Clive Brooker
Tue Mar 03, 2009 7:29 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' debut
Replies: 121
Views: 8593

Re: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' deb

I'm new here, but I do remember Kirk's first appearance. It sounded like a fair question to me so I don't understand the response. Maybe this is a good example of why newbies tend to find me unfriendly. The question is per se a fair one and I've responded to it properly here . However, with broader...
by Clive Brooker
Tue Mar 03, 2009 6:04 am
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' debut
Replies: 121
Views: 8593

Re: Spoilers for Mon 02/03/2009 - Kirk Bevins' debut

Seriously, how can this game be classed as a debut when its not your first appearance? I think you should make your debut in my new game "Shut The Fuck Up". Jeez! It was just a question. I'm new here, but I do remember Kirk's first appearance. It sounded like a fair question to me so I don't unders...
by Clive Brooker
Sun Feb 22, 2009 7:32 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers and comments for Wednesday 18/02/2009
Replies: 66
Views: 3557

Re: Spoilers and comments for Wednesday 18/02/2009

[quote="Jojo Apollo Ah now I see, sorry I thought Anita had it written down (must remember to pay more attention in future :oops: ). Everything was in order there. Absolutely no question about people complaining, we know you had it the same way. Yeah was very surprised you didn't have the last numbe...
by Clive Brooker
Thu Feb 12, 2009 8:04 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Welcome! - Post here first
Replies: 1943
Views: 301803

Re: Welcome! - Post here first

Charlie Reams wrote:
Clive Brooker wrote:Hello. I'm Clive and have been a Countdown fan for over 26 years. Today I posted my contestant application form.
Impressive. Welcome!
Thanks. Some say I can be a little cautious.
by Clive Brooker
Wed Feb 11, 2009 9:33 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: Welcome! - Post here first
Replies: 1943
Views: 301803

Re: Welcome! - Post here first

Hello. I'm Clive and have been a Countdown fan for over 26 years. Today I posted my contestant application form.